State IRA programs work toward closing racial retirement savings gap

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The income and wealth gaps between people of color and white households are wide, but state-run retirement programs are attempting to help workers find parity.

As many as 67% of private-industry workers had access to retirement plans in 2020, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. A significant number of employees, however, remain left out of these programs — and it tends to be workers of color who are missing out.

Indeed, about 64% of Hispanic workers, 53% of Black workers and 45% of Asian American workers have no access to a workplace retirement plan, according to AARP. Small employers are also less likely to offer retirement plans to their workers, with about 78% of those who work for companies with fewer than 10 employees lacking access to a plan, AARP found. 

State-facilitated individual retirement account savings programs have stepped in to attempt to close that racial savings gap.

Federal Reserve Board, 2019 Survey of Consumer Finances

“It’s preliminary at this point, but the idea was to close the retirement savings gap for people who are left out, and that tends to be lower-income workers, workers of color,” said Michael Frerichs, Illinois state treasurer.

Sixteen states have enacted new initiatives to help private-sector workers save and 11 of them have auto-IRA programs, according to Georgetown University’s Center for Retirement Initiatives. As of the end of January, there were more than $735 million in assets in these state-facilitated retirement savings programs, the center found.

“An important part of the purpose of the nationwide movement to have states play a supporting role for the private pension system has been this: to narrow the racial and gender and white-collar versus blue-collar savings gaps,” said J. Mark Iwry, nonresident senior fellow at The Brookings Institution.

He coauthored former President Barack Obama’s “auto-IRA” legislative proposal, a push to expand access to retirement savings through automatic enrollment in IRAs, and pioneered the nationwide state-facilitated retirement savings movement starting more than 20 years ago.

How it works

Rather than competing against large corporate retirement plans, state-facilitated retirement savings programs turn their focus to an underserved corner of the market: small businesses.

Most of these state programs require businesses to either offer a workplace retirement plan or help automatically enroll their workers into the state’s program.

Typically, the savings program is a Roth IRA — which means employees are saving money on an after-tax basis — and they can put away 4% to 6% of their compensation through an automatic payroll deduction, according to Craig Copeland, director of wealth benefits research at the Employee Benefit Research Institute. Employers themselves aren’t paying for the programs, and an investment firm is managing savers’ accounts.

The upshot of using a Roth IRA to save is that the funds grow free of taxes and can be withdrawn tax-free in retirement, subject to certain conditions. In the event participants need to pull money out for an emergency, they can take their own contributions — but not the earnings — tax-free.

Among the participants in Illinois’ Secure Choice program, about half are Black or Hispanic, according to Frerichs. The program has been running since 2018 and recently expanded access to firms with as few as five employees.

Tips for mapping out your retirement plan

“We’re getting the people who fell through the cracks and don’t have a safety net,” he said, noting that this includes employees at bars, restaurants and grocery stores.

Perhaps the most powerful attribute of the auto-IRA plans is the automatic payroll deduction. “This is the ‘set it and forget it’ mentality,” said Fiona Ma, California state treasurer. It’s easy for employees to spend the money that lands in their checking accounts, so having a portion of it go directly toward retirement allows their funds to grow.

Workers joining CalSavers begin with a default contribution of 5% of their pay, and they’re subject to an annual automatic escalation of 1 percentage point until they are saving 8% of their salary, according to Katie Selenski, executive director of the program.

“Being able to save and have it accumulate has been a game changer in trying to decrease the wealth gap,” Ma added. She noted that two out of three workers eligible for the program in California are people of color.

On Jan. 1, the state expanded its CalSavers program to businesses that have one to four employees. If they don’t already offer a 401(k) plan to employees, those employers are required to have a payroll deposit savings arrangement that would allow workers to participate in CalSavers by the end of 2025.

Strengthening savings

The wealth disparity between households of color and white households is the result of generations of discrimination, including practices such as redlining — that is, the denial of loans to prospective homebuyers in minority neighborhoods. That means these state IRA programs mark a step toward closing the gap.

Legislators have pushed for more progress in the form of a measure in the Secure Act 2.0. A provision in the proposal would establish a federal matching contribution for lower-income workers saving in a qualified retirement account, starting in 2027. This match would be a maximum 50% of up to $2,000 in contributions — a maximum of $1,000 per person.

“For low-income workers, if they can put away $2,000 and get a 50-cent match for each dollar, that’s a significant boost to them,” said Monique Morrissey, economist at the Economic Policy Institute. “That will help, but it’s several years into the future. So right now, we see that these [auto-IRA] plans help in terms of convenience.”

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WW International, KeyCorp and more

Check out the companies making headlines after hours.

WW International — Shares jumped more than 6% after WW International, also known as WeightWatchers, said it’s acquiring Sequence, a subscription telehealth platform with a focus on chronic weight management, for a net purchase price of $106 million. The deal marks WeightWatchers’ foray into a world of clientele who are taking chronic weight management medications, such as glucagon-like peptide 1s. Separately, WW International announced its fourth-quarter and full-year results.

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Norfolk Southern — The stock ticked up more than 2% in after-hours trading. Earlier, a CNBC reported that Norfolk Southern is planning to make broad safety adjustments after its third train derailment.

KeyCorp — Shares fell about 2% after KeyCorp issued full-year net interest income guidance that was lower than prior guidance, according to an 8-K filing on Monday.

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3 Stocks to Buy If the U.S. Bans TikTok

The proposal to ban TikTok may be moving forward. In November 2022, the FBI informed the House Homeland Security Committee of national security concerns regarding the popular content-sharing platform. Since then, politicians have been looking into the data security dangers it may pose. Senator Mark Warner recently echoed the law enforcement agency’s accusation, and he isn’t the only one who feels this way. Reuters reports that a bipartisan coalition of twelve U.S. senators is backing legislation extending the power to ban TikTok to Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo. This new bill will be unveiled today, and the country is waiting anxiously to see how it will be received. For investors, this means evaluating the best stocks to buy to benefit from a TikTok ban. However, these proposed restrictions may apply to other platforms as well. Per CNBC:

“Dubbed the Deterring America’s Technological Adversaries, or DATA, Act, the House bill mandates that the president impose broad sanctions on companies based in or controlled by China that engage in the transfer of the ‘sensitive personal data’ of Americans to entities or individuals based in, or controlled by, China.”

That isn’t to say that banning TikTok will be easy. As Axios reports, complex political elements could make it difficult to impose a ban on such a popular app. While that’s true of almost any bill, it shouldn’t be overlooked that influential U.S. lawmakers from both sides of the aisle are mobilized against it. No matter how we look at it, the road ahead for TikTok seems difficult. But for other social media platforms, it provides an opportunity to grow.

Let’s take a look at the best stocks to buy ahead of the looming TikTok ban.

Best Stocks to Buy: Snap (SNAP)

The Snapchat and Instagram apps on displayed on an iPhone, which sits on a gray background.

Source: BigTunaOnline / Shutterstock

Before TikTok burst onto the social media landscape, young people flocked to Snapchat, owned by Snap (NYSE:SNAP). The platform grew from a photo-sharing tool to a media brand that featured original content and a lucrative advertising arm. Like TikTok, Snapchat rose to prominence on the backs of a young user base, amusing teens and tweens with its fun filters and content modification tools. With that in mind, it’s no surprise that SNAP stock surged yesterday as momentum for the TikTok ban escalated.

If they can’t keep using TikTok, users across the country will likely start spending more time on Snapchat. That means a significant influx in traffic for the platform and a significant boost for SNAP stock. In 2022, InvestorPlace senior investment analyst Luke Lango speculated that regulatory scrutiny of TikTok would mean favorable tailwinds for Snapchat. We are seeing precisely that play out as TikTok faces a potential nationwide ban. SNAP has lost momentum since yesterday, but its response to the bill supports Lango’s bullish thesis. If it passes, the stock will soar again.

Grom Social Enterprises (GROM)

GROM stock: a phone displaying the GROM social network app page in the app store

Source: Postmodern Studio / Shutterstock

It hasn’t been a good year for this micro-cap penny stock. Grom Social Enterprises (NASDAQ:GROM) has been on some investors’ radars due to its high short interest but has failed to generate any significant momentum. That may be about to change, however. Grom Social provides a social media and entertainment platform specifically designed for users under thirteen. Like Snapchat, it will likely see a surge in new user activity if the bill banning TikTok passes. The platform features plenty of gaming and entertainment options for young users and is designed to provide a safe experience. As TikTok has been accused of not protecting the privacy of child users, Grom will likely have plenty of appeal for parents.

GROM stock hasn’t responded well to the news of the TikTok today, but it garnered some momentum yesterday. At less than $1 per share, it represents a lucrative opportunity for investors who don’t mind a little risk. Those who do will likely be drawn to SNAP stock, which has been much less volatile this year. But for those who don’t mind a bumpier road in the short term, this little-known penny stock could be a winner in the post-TikTok market.

Stocks to Buy: NextDoor (KIND)

Image of the Nextdoor (KIND) app on an iPhone.

Source: Tada Images / Shutterstock.com

TikTok is best known for appealing to young people, but we shouldn’t forget about the older users who also enjoy it. Recent statistics indicate that users between 10 and 19 comprise only 32.5% of the platform’s base. That leaves 67.5% of users who are old enough to be concerned with adult things. This means a clear opportunity for NextDoor (NYSE:KIND), a platform specifically designed to provide hyperlocal social networking for neighborhoods. In late 2021, InvestorPlace contributor Stavros Georgiadis described it as the “next big social media platform.”

Granted, KIND stock hasn’t performed too well since then, falling almost 5% year-to-date. However, a market without TikTok may be just what it needs to finally turn around and generate actual growth. Contributor Faizan Farooque ranked it among up-and-coming tech stocks to buy, stating:

“One of the most important impacts of social media is on our mental health. It is time-consuming, and people often turn to it while stuck inside their homes during Covid-19.

Nextdoor addresses these issues. It encourages outside activity by interacting more with the community around you. Therefore, considering its explosive growth, KIND stock is an interesting way to play the social media space.”

Since TikTok has also been accused of negatively impacting users’ mental health, NextDoor may provide an excellent alternative. It’s been a year since Farooque’s bullish case, but market conditions may shift strongly in the company’s favor.

On Penny Stocks and Low-Volume Stocks: With only the rarest exceptions, InvestorPlace does not publish commentary about companies that have a market cap of less than $100 million or trade less than 100,000 shares each day. That’s because these “penny stocks” are frequently the playground for scam artists and market manipulators. If we ever do publish commentary on a low-volume stock that may be affected by our commentary, we demand that InvestorPlace.com’s writers disclose this fact and warn readers of the risks.

Read More:Penny Stocks — How to Profit Without Getting Scammed

On the date of publication, Samuel O’Brient did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

Samuel O’Brient has been covering financial markets and analyzing economic policy for three-plus years. His areas of expertise involve electric vehicle (EV) stocks, green energy and NFTs. O’Brient loves helping everyone understand the complexities of economics. He is ranked in the top 15% of stock pickers on TipRanks.

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7 Food Stocks to Buy as Shortages Hit Consumers

Aside from inflation and military conflict, one of the most-discussed topics centers on global food shortages, thus cynically incentivizing food stocks to buy. Predominantly, Russia’s unjustified invasion of Ukraine dramatically disrupted critical supply chains, resulting in price escalation. In turn, crises throughout the world may turn worryingly volatile as desperate nations become even more so.

To be sure, acquiring food stocks to buy won’t solve any of the root problems associated with sector shortages. However, it appears almost inevitable that food prices – along with associated value chains – will swing higher. Therefore, moving ahead of this wave could shield your portfolio from subsequent inflation. Finally, enterprises linked to necessary resources enjoy established frameworks. No, they’re not particularly exciting but they get the job done. And that’s really all you can ask for during these trying times. With that, below are the food stocks to buy as shortages hit consumers.

LW Lamb Weston $101.23
KR Kroger $46.78
TWNK Hostess Brands $24.12
COST Costco $487.62
MDLZ Mondelez $64.49
NOMD Nomad Foods $17.35
FREE Whole Earth Brands $2.98

Lamb Weston (LW)

A food processing firm, Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) is one of the world’s largest producers of frozen French fries, waffle fries, and other frozen potato products. Fundamentally, Lamb Weston attracts investors because as inflation hits consumers, they’ll likely look for cheaper sources of nourishment. Potatoes can fill up a hungry stomach, making LW an intriguing prospect for food stocks to buy.

It appears that investors have taken note. Since the start of the year, LW gained nearly 17% of its equity value. And in the trailing year, shares nearly doubled. On paper, then, LW appears to be overvalued, both against trailing and forward earnings. As well, investment resource Gurufocus.com warns readers that it might be modestly overvalued.

That said, Lamb Weston enjoys strong profitability metrics. In particular, its net margin stands at 10.5%, outpacing 80.46% of the industry. Finally, Wall Street analysts peg LW as a consensus strong buy. Their average price target stands at $111, implying nearly 9% upside potential.

Kroger (KR)

A favorite topic when it comes to food stocks to buy, Kroger (NYSE:KR) brings much fundamental (i.e. narrative) value to the table. Primarily, Kroger – which operates supermarkets and multi-department stores – benefits from the trade-down effect. Basically, consumers will trade down from eating out at fine-dining establishments to cooking at home. Naturally, this benefits KR stock.

Not surprisingly, after some choppiness in recent months, the bulls have entered the space. Since the January opener, KR gained 4.5% of its equity value. Financially as well, Kroger offers an attractive profile. Mainly, the market prices KR at a forward multiple of 11.02. As a discount to earnings, the company ranks better than 83.61% of the competition.

Operationally, Kroger enjoys a decent sales trajectory, with a three-year revenue growth rate of 6.4%. This stat ranks above nearly 60% of its rivals. Also, it enjoys a return on equity (ROE) of 24.57%, indicating a high-quality business.

Presently, Wall Street analysts peg KR as a consensus hold. Nevertheless, their average price target stands at $52.07, implying 12% upside potential. Therefore, it’s one of the food stocks to buy.

Hostess Brands (TWNK)

At first glance, the inclusion of Hostess Brands (NASDAQ:TWNK) – the owner of the Twinkies brand – on a list of food stocks to buy might seem odd. However, it makes perfect sense on many levels. First and foremost, Twinkies offer cheap sustenance (I didn’t say they were healthy, to be clear). And second, they represent comfort food.

Indeed, Hostess’ leadership team noted that millennials turn to Twinkies to help manage their stress. Sure enough, investors have taken notice of the upside opportunity. Since the start of the year, TWNK gained slightly over 9% of equity value. In the past 365 days, it returned 11%.

Financially, given the recent momentum, TWNK might be a tad bit overvalued against trailing earnings. That said, it delivers solid operational strengths. For instance, Hostess’ three-year EBITDA growth rate stands at 28.3%, outpacing 80% of its peers. And its net margin dominates at 12.09%, above 84% of the industry. Lastly, Wall Street analysts peg TWNK as a consensus moderate buy. In addition, their average price target stands at $27.40, implying nearly 13% upside potential.

Costco (COST)

Specializing in open-warehouse style membership-only retailers, Costco (NASDAQ:COST) isn’t a direct player among food stocks to buy. Nevertheless, it plays a significant role in the consumer economy as households adjust to higher prices. Essentially, Costco incentivizes purchasing products in bulk, one of the best ways to mitigate accelerating inflation.

Additionally, Costco caters to a wealthier customer base. Because of the implied economic insulation, investors started to eyeball COST stock. Since the Jan. opener, shares bounced up almost 7%. However, it’s down nearly 9% in the trailing year, presenting a relative discount.

Financially, COST appears to be overpriced at the moment, thus requiring patience. Still, Costco enjoys a robust balance sheet. As well, it benefits from significant operational strengths. For example, its three-year revenue growth rate stands at 14%, above 84.51% of the competition. Also, its book growth rate during the same period is 10.4%, outpacing 66.79% of the field.

Turning to Wall Street, analysts peg COST as a consensus moderate buy. Further, their average price target stands at $552.76, implying over 14% upside potential.

Mondelez International (MDLZ)

A multinational food company, Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ) mainly specializes in confectionaries. Here, the company may benefit from the trade-down effect. As inflation crimps the consumer economy, people may opt for cheaper fares (compared to patronizing coffee shops, for example). As well, Mondelez manufactures beverages and various snacks.

Overall, MDLZ has been a steady performer among food stocks to buy. Since the start of the new year, MDLZ slipped about 1%. However, in the past 365 days, MDLZ gained 5%. This actually compares very favorably to the S&P 500 index, which dipped almost 4% during the same period.

Operationally, Mondelez’s three-year revenue growth rate stands at 8.6%, above 64.86% of sector peers. Also, its net margin over the trailing year is 8.63%, ranked better than 76% of the competition. Looking to the Street, covering analysts peg MDLZ as a strong buy. Also, their average price target pings at $75.19, implying over 14% upside potential.

Nomad Foods (NOMD)

Diving into the speculative portion of food stocks to buy, Nomad Foods (NYSE:NOMD) is a U.K.-headquartered frozen food company. Again, it’s quite possible that Nomad over the long run may benefit from the trade-down effect. Assuming economic conditions worsen, people will have less incentive to go out and eat/drink. Therefore, cheap frozen meals start to look rather enticing (again, not discussing the health component).

However, it’s a risky narrative. Since the Jan. opener, NOMD dipped a bit below parity. In the trailing year, shares plunged almost 18%. On the financials, Gurufocus.com warns that it’s a possible value trap. So, it’s only one of the food stocks to buy if you can stomach possible volatility.

Nevertheless, Nomad’s three-year revenue growth rate is 11.1%, above 71.17% of the industry. Further, its net margin comes in at 8.45%, above over 75% of the field. As well, the market prices NOMD at 11 times forward earnings, ranking better than 74.45% of its competitors. Finally, covering analysts peg NOMD as a consensus strong buy. Their average price target stands at $21.63, implying over 23% upside potential.

Whole Earth Brands (FREE)

Billed as a global food company enabling healthier lifestyles, Whole Earth Brands (NASDAQ:FREE) fundamentally benefits from young consumers’ push toward healthier eating choices. Moreover, for those who have been spared the mass layoffs that have been occurring over the past year, Whole Earth offers premium nutrition while still enjoying a sizable discount compared to eating out.

However, it’s an incredibly risky narrative. Since the January opener, FREE plunged more than 25% in equity value. In the past 365 days, shares slipped almost 66%. Not shockingly, Gurufocus.com warns its readers that Whole Earth is a possible value trap.

Still, Whole Earth does feature some attractive figures. For instance, its three-year sales growth rate is 16.9%, above 83.26% of the competition. And for what it’s worth, the market prices FREE at a forward multiple of 7.63. In contrast, the sector median pings at 16.81. Lastly, Ryan Meyers of Lake Street assigned a buy rating on FREE with a price target of $8. This implies over 162% upside potential. If you can handle great risk in your food stocks to buy, FREE could be interesting.

On the date of publication, Josh Enomoto did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

A former senior business analyst for Sony Electronics, Josh Enomoto has helped broker major contracts with Fortune Global 500 companies. Over the past several years, he has delivered unique, critical insights for the investment markets, as well as various other industries including legal, construction management, and healthcare.

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7 Real Estate Stocks to Avoid as the Market Flip-Flops

Due to a combination of macroeconomic challenges and affordability constraints, investors should be aware of the real estate stocks to avoid. Admittedly, the contrarian narrative initially seems compelling. With publicly traded securities in the housing sector suffering steep losses last year, this year might offer an upside opportunity. For a brief moment, a sharp drop in mortgage interest rates brought out homebuyers from the woodwork.

Unfortunately, as CNBC pointed out, the dynamic likely represents only a brief respite. With interest rates bouncing back higher again, home sales could once again dip. Moreover, the Federal Reserve may very well remove the kiddie gloves in its ambitions to control skyrocketing inflation. If futures jobs reports turn up the heat, rates may move higher still. That will impose an affordability crisis, thus necessitating a discussion about real estate stocks to avoid.

As well, companies continue to lay off their workers in droves. As well, a Bankrate survey revealed that about 45% of millennials report owing more on their credit cards than the amount of money saved for potential emergencies. With problems compounding problems, these are the real estate stocks to avoid.

Z ZG Zillow $41.86
RDFN Redfin $7.44
NMRK Newmark Group $7.60
OPEN Opendoor $1.49
RKT Rocket Companies $8.36
LDI Loandepot $1.90
BRMK Broadmark Realty $5.02

Zillow (Z, ZG)

At first glance, Zillow (NASDAQ:Z, NASDAQ:ZG) appears to be on an impressive recovery effort. Since the Jan. opener, the Class C Z stock gained 26% of its equity value. However, it remains down over 14% in the trailing year, raising a cautionary tone. Fundamentally, with the consumer base – particularly younger folks – suffering significantly from the current economic environment, Zillow doesn’t seem appetizing.

Financially, the core numbers suggest investors should consider Z as one of the real estate stocks to avoid. First, on a per-share basis, its three-year revenue growth rate slipped to 15.3% below breakeven. In terms of profitability, its gross margin is only 29.4%, worse than over 86% of its peers. As well, its net margin is 1.63% below parity. If that wasn’t alarming enough, the market prices Z at a forward multiple of 41.24. This ranks worse than 85.71% of the industry.

Finally, Wall Street analysts peg Zillow as a consensus moderate buy. However, their average price target sits at $42.50, implying less than 0.2% upside potential. Frankly, this is one of the real estate stocks to avoid.

Redfin (RDFN)

Back during the booming days of the post-pandemic period (but before 2022), Redfin (NASDAQ:RDFN) executives would often make appearances on business news outlets. With their jovial countenances, the framework implied more good times ahead. Unfortunately, 2022 called and gave the housing sector a beatdown. Now, RDFN may rank among the real estate stocks to avoid.

To be fair, Redfin’s financials look better than Zillow’s in many regards. For instance, while both feature decent stability in the balance sheet, Redfin enjoys a higher Altman Z-Score (18.75 versus 4.03). This gauge reflects bankruptcy risk, with higher figures indicating greater stability. As well, Redfin’s three-year revenue growth rate stands at a positive 15.7%.

Still, the problem for RDFN is that its operating margin slipped 3.6% below parity. In addition, its net margin also fell to a similar magnitude below zero. And at a forward price-earnings ratio of 36.49 times, it’s overvalued. Lastly, Wall Street analysts peg RDFN as a consensus hold. Further, their average price target is $7.51, implying less than 0.3% upside potential.

Newmark Group (NMRK)

Let me drift a little bit into another lane regarding real estate stocks to avoid and discuss Newmark Group (NASDAQ:NMRK). While it might be tempting to believe that the commercial property market is booming, that’s not the experience that Newmark has. Since the Jan. opener, NMRK dipped over 4% in equity value. And in the past 365 days, it’s down over 51%.

In a similar situation to brokerages in the residential arena, Newmark’s financials present a questionable profile. Glaringly, Gurufocus.com points out that the company’s three-year revenue growth rate fell 2.7% below parity. As well, its free cash flow (FCF) growth rate during the same period dipped 1.7% below zero. In terms of valuation, NMRK trades at a trailing multiple of 16.82. As a “discount” to earnings, this ranks worse than 69% of the competition. Also, its price-to-tangible-book ratio is 7.06 times, which is extremely overpriced.

Turning to Wall Street, analysts peg NMRK as a consensus moderate sell. True, their average price target implies over 22% growth. All things considered, though, NMRK may be one of the real estate stocks to avoid.

Opendoor (OPEN)

Initially, Opendoor (NASDAQ:OPEN) enjoyed a compelling narrative. Leveraging artificial intelligence to undergird the buy-and-flip process (called the iBuyer business model), Opendoor appeared to set the pathway for a novel approach to buying a home. Unfortunately, after the hype faded, OPEN legitimately became one of the real estate stocks to avoid.

Now, here’s the tricky part. Since the January opener, the OPEN stock gained nearly 34% of its equity value. That’s an impressive tally. Unfortunately, in the trailing year, it’s down more than 77%. In my opinion, that’s the more critical metric to consider.

For additional pause, investors need to examine Opendoor’s financials. Conspicuously, it suffers from balance sheet weakness, most notably a 2.22 Altman Z-Score that reflects distress. Furthermore, its three-year EBITDA growth rate plunged 58.8% below breakeven. And yes, it suffers from a negative net margin too. Looking to the Street, analysts peg OPEN as a consensus hold. Now, some hopeful analysts believe big things for OPEN, meaning that it carries a potential upside of nearly 141%. For me, I’ll watch from the sidelines.

Rocket Companies (RKT)

For determining the health of residential real estate, mortgage leader Rocket Companies (NYSE:RKT) is a key benchmark. Unfortunately, the poor condition of the average consumer economy – with layoffs and high debt loads imposing headwinds – hurts RKT. Yes, since the Jan. opener, RKT gained almost 23% of its equity value. That’s definitely not nothing. However, in the trailing year, it’s down over 29%.

Again, the latter figure probably ranks more emblematic of Rocket’s situation than the former. Financially, Rocket suffers from a messy situation. Conspicuously, the company suffers from a very weak, debt-laden balance sheet. Heading into unknown waters, such debt may become a serious liability.

Operationally, Rocket’s three-year revenue growth rate fell 45.9% below parity. Also, its book growth rate during the same period is 42.3% below zero. Fortunately, its net margin is positive but barely at 0.82%. Not surprisingly, Wall Street pegs RKT as a hold with an implied downside risk of 14%. In my opinion, enough evidence exists to suggest RKT ranks among the real estate stocks to avoid.

LoanDepot (LDI)

A competitor to Rocket Companies, LoanDepot (NYSE:LDI) specializes in mortgage and non-mortgage lending products. Fundamentally, LoanDepot appears headed for a double whammy. For one thing, the weakened consumer economy naturally hurts demand for big-ticket items. Second, soaring inflation may cause the Fed to raise interest rates aggressively, also negatively impacting LDI stock.

To be sure, LDI bulls launched a valiant effort in the new year. Since the January opener, shares bounced up more than 18%. Unfortunately, in the trailing month, shares plunged 26%. And in the past 365 days, they’re off the mark by 49%. Therefore, unless you see something major materializing, it’s one of the real estate stocks to avoid.

Certainly, the financials don’t provide an encouraging profile. While LoanDepot’s three-year revenue growth rate stands at 58.3%, its net margin fell 11.4% below parity. Further, its return on equity (ROE) sits at 35% below zero. Finally, covering analysts peg LDI as a hold. Moreover, their average $1.88 price target implies almost 3% downside risk.

Broadmark Realty (BRMK)

According to its website, Broadmark Realty (NYSE:BRMK) is a specialty real estate finance company investing in opportunities throughout the small to the middle market. Although Broadmark focuses on commercial endeavors and multifamily units, it’s not immune from the troubles affecting residential real estate.

True, BRMK gained nearly 39% of its equity value since the January opener. However, in the past 365 days, it cratered by almost 36%. Since its 2018 public market debut, shares dropped 48%. Not a shocker, Gurufocus.com warns that Broadmark may be a possible value trap. In fairness, the company enjoys a cash-rich balance sheet (relative to the underlying industry). However, it gets shaky from there. For instance, its three-year revenue growth rate is 7.7% below parity. As well, its net margin is deeply in negative territory.

Turning to the Street, covering analysts peg BRMK as a hold. Their average price target is $5.50, implying nearly 9% upside. That’s not bad. However, given its fiscal vulnerabilities, I’m more inclined to say it’s one of the real estate stocks to avoid.

On the date of publication, Josh Enomoto did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

A former senior business analyst for Sony Electronics, Josh Enomoto has helped broker major contracts with Fortune Global 500 companies. Over the past several years, he has delivered unique, critical insights for the investment markets, as well as various other industries including legal, construction management, and healthcare.

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3 Blue-Chip Stocks to Buy for High Returns

Many investors want reliable stocks in their portfolios. Companies that have a track record of increasing their dividend for many years, with lower volatility, are generally known as blue-chip stocks.

At the same time, above-average returns are highly sought after, as that allows investors to grow their wealth faster. Retirees might benefit from a higher living standard when their investment portfolios are generating strong returns.

In this article, we will showcase three companies that fit both lists. These three blue-chip stocks are also reliable dividend growth stocks with solid track records. Their total return outlook over the coming years is also better than that of the average stock.

Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)

hands at desk near laptop computer, with one hand holding a pile of hundred dollar bills

Source: shutterstock.com/CC7

Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE:BNS) is a major Canadian bank that belongs to the country’s “Big 4.” It trades on the New York Stock Exchange as well as on Canadian exchanges. The bank is primarily active in Canada but also operates in some foreign countries. This incudes the U.S., Mexico, some countries in Central and South America, and the Caribbean.

It offers a wide range of typical banking and financial services to its customers, including debit and credit cards, saving accounts, mortgages, loans, insurance, business lending, brokerage services, investment banking services such as advisory and capital markets services, and so on.

Due to headwinds for its wealth management business from declining equity markets, its profits were down slightly during the most recent quarter. Nevertheless, the company managed to grow its earnings per share (EPS) to a record level in 2022 overall, as EPS hit $6.26.

For the current year, another increase in profits looks likely. Rising interest rates should allow Bank of Nova Scotia to grow its net interest income, which should be more than enough to offset ongoing headwinds from tough equity and bond markets that negatively impact the bank’s wealth management business.

Bank of Nova Scotia has increased its dividend for 11 years in a row, making it a Dividend Achiever. We believe that there is a high chance that the bank will continue to increase its dividend over time. Based on current EPS estimates for this year, Bank of Nova Scotia will pay out a little less than half its net profit this year via dividends. That means that the dividend is pretty safe and that there is considerable room for further dividend increases.

With a dividend yield of 5.8%, forecasted longer-term EPS growth of 5% per year, and considerable multiple expansion potential, we believe that there is a high chance that Bank of Nova Scotia will deliver returns in the mid-teens range over the next five years.

Qualcomm (QCOM)

Qualcomm (QCOM) logo on a large sign with another sign that says 5G

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Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) is a semiconductor company that operates with a fabless model. That means it designs, develops and markets chips, but production is outsourced to foundries such as Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM).

This fabless model means that Qualcomm does not have to invest large amounts of cash for capital expenditures, which results in a high free-cash-flow conversion. This, in turn, means that Qualcomm has more flexibility when it comes to shareholder returns and acquisitions.

Qualcomm’s products consist of integrated circuits that are used in mobile devices to enable voice and data communication. Qualcomm also has a large patent portfolio that includes 3G, 4G and 5G tech. This generates high-margin royalty payments for the company that it can use for shareholder returns and investments in other areas.

Despite the fact that chip markets have become weaker in the recent past, Qualcomm has reported very strong results. In its most recent quarter, the company was able to grow its revenue by 22% year over year.

During fiscal 2023, however, Qualcomm may experience some headwinds from a weakening chip market and a potential recession. That is why EPS are forecasted to pull back this year. However, they will still be the second-highest ever, behind only the 2022 profit per share that set a new record.

Qualcomm has increased its dividend for 20 years in a row. Additionally, there is a lot of room for further dividend growth, as the dividend payout ratio is below 30%. This makes the dividend very safe and should allow Qualcomm to offer sizeable dividend increases for many years to come.

Between the dividend yield of 2.4%, forecasted EPS growth of 7%, and substantial tailwinds from multiple expansions, a mid-teens total return seems achievable.

Albemarle (ALB)

Albemarle (ALB) logo on a mobile phone screen

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Albemarle (NYSE:ALB) is a chemicals company that is the largest lithium producer in the world while also producing other products such as bromine. Lithium is used in many batteries. And battery demand has been growing for many years. They are used in smartphones and other mobile devices, but the largest growth driver recently has been electric vehicles (EVs).

EVs require a large amount of lithium. And sales for EVs have been growing quickly, even though most vehicles sold around the world are combustion-powered. Growing demand for lithium from EVs and other products has led to a sharp increase in lithium prices. This has made Albemarle’s sales and profits surge upwards.

During the most recent quarter, Albemarle generated sales of $2.1 billion. This was up by 150% year over year, thanks mostly to surging lithium revenues. Albemarle’s profits rose even faster in 2022 due to the impact of operating leverage. Additionally, it is forecasted that Albemarle will see its EPS hit an even higher level (and a new record) in 2023.

Albemarle has increased its dividend by 27 years in a row, making it a Dividend Aristocrat. The dividend yield isn’t high, at only 0.6%. However, the dividend growth has been solid, as the company doubled its dividend over the last decade. The payout ratio is very low, at well below 10%. Thus, there is an extremely small dividend-cut risk.

While the small dividend yield does not add a lot to Albemarle’s total return potential, the total return outlook over the coming five years is still strong. Between expected EPS growth of 7%-8% and sizeable multiple expansion tailwind potential, we believe that total returns could reach 15% per year.

On the date of publication, Bob Ciura did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

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Silvergate Capital shares crater after the crypto bank delays annual report

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Shares of Silvergate Capital plummeted Thursday after the bank delayed the filing of its annual 10-K report as it evaluates events that have happened since the end of 2022.

The company, which provides banking services to crypto businesses, ended the day lower by 57.72%. That pushed its year-to-date loss to 67%. It’s lost 95.7% in the past year.

Silvergate said in a filing Wednesday that it needs additional time for its accounting firm to complete certain audit procedures and that it’s “currently analyzing certain regulatory and other inquiries and investigations.”

Silvergate discloses uncertain future, and senators dub Binance 'hotbed' for crime: CNBC Crypto World

Specifically, it cited the “sale of additional investment securities beyond what was previously anticipated” and the “impact that these subsequent events have on its ability to continue as a going concern.”

“The losses from the securities sales appear large enough to result in Silvergate calling out that it may now be less than well capitalized on its regulatory capital ratios,” JPMorgan analyst Steven Alexopoulos said in a note Thursday. “Given significant regulatory challenges (including the pending investigations from regulators) and business challenges (including the exacerbating liquidity challenges amid a crisis of confidence from digital asset customers), the company is reevaluating its businesses and strategies.”

JPMorgan downgraded Silvergate shares Thursday along with other Wall Street analysts.

Silvergate noted that its preliminary, unaudited financial results for 2022, filed Jan. 17, included a net loss attributable to common shareholders of $948.7 million, compared with net income of $75.5 million in 2021.

Silvergate is has been facing several challenges since the end of last year, following the blowup of crypto exchange FTX. In January it suffered another 40% drop in a single day after reporting massive withdrawals in the fourth quarter, in light of the FTX collapse. Then in February the Department of Justice opened an investigation into the bank’s dealings with FTX and its sister company Alameda Research.

The move in its shares weighed on Signature Bank, which also banks crypto startups. Its stock hit a 52-week low intraday, and fell as much as 7%

Coinbase also fell as much as 11%, but cut losses as the stock market rallied and finished the day down just 1.5%. The crypto services company said in a statement that has de minimis corporate exposure to Silvergate and that it has stopped accepting or initiating payments to or from Silvergate. Hedge fund Galaxy Digital, stablecoin issuers Circle and Paxos and others have taken the same measure.

The move did not have a big effect on cryptocurrencies, however. Bitcoin and ether both hovered at the flatline.

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META, RIVN, WW, KEY and more

Visitors take photos in front of the Meta (Facebook) sign at its headquarters in Menlo Park, California, on December 29, 2022.

Tayfun Coskun | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images

Check out the companies making the biggest moves in premarket trading:

Meta — Meta shares gained 2% after a Bloomberg report announced that the company is planning another round of layoffs as soon as this week. The company previously cut 13% of its workforce in November as part of CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s efforts to make the company more profitable.

Rivian — The electric-vehicle maker dropped nearly 7% after announcing Monday it plans to sell $1.3 billion worth of bonds. The capital will help facilitate the launch of Rivian’s R2 vehicles, a spokesperson told Reuters.

WW International — Shares of company formerly known as Weight Watchers jumped as much as 17.6% in premarket trading after announcing a deal to acquire telehealth firm Sequence. The move could help WW push into the anti-obesity drug market. WW also released fourth-quarter results, showing shrinking revenue year over year and a net loss of $32.5 million. The stock is still trading below $5 a share, however, with a small market cap.

Joby Aviation — The electric-aircraft maker fell more than 4% after being downgraded to sell from hold by Deutsche Bank. The Wall Street firm said the aircraft’s weight has raised questions and led him to wonder if the design is “overly aggressive.”

Dick’s Sporting Goods — The sporting-good retailer rallied more than 6% after its fourth-quarter results topped Wall Street’s expectations. Same-store sales increased 5.3%, more than double analysts’ estimates of 2.1%, according to StreetAccount.

KeyCorp — The bank shed 2.3% after issuing full-year net interest income guidance that was lower than prior guidance, according to an 8-K filing on Monday.

Juniper Networks — The network hardware company added more than 1% after Goldman Sachs initiatived coverage of the stock with a buy rating. Its price target of $39 implies 24.5% upside from Monday’s close.

Mineralys Therapeutics — The health-care company gained about 3% after Credit Suisse initiated coverage of the stock with an outperform rating and $40 price target, which suggests upside of more than 100%. The Wall Street firm said there is a large unmet need for resistant hypertension treatment and said Mineralys has “potential best-in-class” data.

Hesai Group — The stock gained 1.4% in light premarket trading after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the stock with an overweight rating and $26.50 price target, which implies nearly 40% upside. The Wall Street firm said Hensai “outshines peers, with its superior scale and margin, and its strong project pipeline.”

— CNBC’s Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim and Alex Harring contributed reporting.

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Stock Market Crash Alert: Mark Your Calendars for March 10

Big bomb of money hundred dollar bills with a burning wick. Little time before the explosion. The concept of financial crisis, stock market crash

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Jobs have been the talk of Wall Street for most of the past month. Heading into the February unemployment report due this Friday, stock market crash alarms are ringing all across financial markets. What do you need to know heading into this week’s major market catalyst?

Well, all eyes are once again on the Federal Reserve. Indeed, because of the central bank’s aggressive rate hikes over the past year, many economists are waiting for economic indicators like unemployment and consumer spending to reflect the impact of the Fed’s monetary tightening. On that front, things have been almost too good to be true.

Last month’s jobs report was, for some, a wakeup call that the Fed’s hawkish agenda is far from over. The U.S. economy added a jaw-dropping 517,000 jobs in January, reflecting an unemployment rate of just 3.4%, the lowest level in more than 50 years. While on the surface level this is promising — low unemployment is a primary objective of just about every modern economy — it’s also almost unexplainably bizarre.

Interest rates often go hand in hand with unemployment. When lending rates are high, many businesses — especially highly leveraged, growth-centric companies — are typically forced to make workforce cuts, which should lower the aggregate demand in the country enough to lower prices. This is the logic the Fed has championed through its entire battle with inflation. With that in mind, it’s undeniably strange to see record low unemployment amid seemingly constant interest rate hikes.

Now, unemployment is considered a lagging indicator, but the Fed has been raising rates for more than a year. As much as government leadership has patted themselves on the back for last month’s stellar unemployment numbers, a reversal likely needs to occur to see inflation ease to acceptable levels. That’s a point Fed Chair Jerome Powell echoed in today’s hearing with the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee:

“The latest economic data have come in stronger than expected, which suggests that the ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated […] If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes.”

Stock Market Crash Worries Rise Alongside Projections of Higher Unemployment

Powell’s hawkish comments today, alongside mixed expectations for Friday’s February jobs data, has put the markets in something of a pouty mood. Indeed the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Dow 30 were each down between 1.2% and 1.8% heading into market close — perhaps justifiably so.

Current projections have the U.S. adding 200,000 jobs last month, representing 3.5% unemployment, a mild deterioration from January’s 3.4% figure. Make no mistake, worse is better at this point in time, but hiring is likely still too strong to sate the recession-hungry Fed. Given Powell’s comments earlier today, more rate hikes are basically a virtual certainty, despite lofty hopes for a “Fed pivot.”

Not everyone’s in agreement over February jobs predictions, however. Economists at Deutsche Bank believe the U.S. added 300,000 nonfarm payrolls last month, citing February’s surprisingly warm climate. Deutsche isn’t alone on that front, either. Jefferies analysts expect 290,000 added jobs, while The Wall Street Journal estimates February payrolls to have climbed by 225,000.

“February’s jobs data probably has more of an ability to move markets than January’s report because there’s very heightened sensitivity to any suggestion of the economy overheating,” said Will Compernolle, a Macro Strategist at FHN Financial.

Expect the markets to keep a close eye on the report for signs of an even more hawkish Fed rate hike trajectory.

On the date of publication, Shrey Dua did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

With degrees in economics and journalism, Shrey Dua leverages his ample experience in media and reporting to contribute well-informed articles covering everything from financial regulation and the electric vehicle industry to the housing market and monetary policy. Shrey’s articles have featured in the likes of Morning Brew, Real Clear Markets, the Downline Podcast, and more.

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