3 Stocks to Short Now BEFORE They Plunge

Shorting stocks is not for the faint of heart or conservative investors. When you short stocks, of course, the companies that you’re betting against are working against you, since they want their share prices to increase. As a result, in their communications with the outside world, they will emphasize the positive aspects of their firms’ businesses and extensively discuss their firms’ strengths and opportunities.

For a while, these efforts to highlight these points will often boost the share prices of even the weakest companies and those with tremendously overpriced stocks. But as Warren Buffett famously said, “Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” In other words, eventually, weak firms’ problems which they try to hide and deemphasize will catch up to them.

Patient short sellers who wait for the point at which “the tide goes out” on such firms will profit handsomely. Here are three such stocks to short.

Coinbase (COIN)

The Street appears to be ignoring the likely impact on Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) of a huge decline in cryptocurrency trading. Coinbase generates much of its revenue from crypto trading on its exchange.

Specifically, in August “The combined cryptocurrency spot and derivatives trading volume on centralized exchanges declined 11.5% to $2.09T,” according to Seeking Alpha,

Moreover, Japanese bank Mizuho recently pointed out that the trading volumes on Coinbase have continuously declined this year. The bank believes that retail investors may have “fatigue” when it comes to cryptos. Mizuho indicated that it expects COIN stock to fall going forward and kept an “underperform” rating on the shares.

Meanwhile, the SEC’s lawsuit against Coinbase, which could ultimately prevent the exchange from enabling trading on all cryptos except Bitcoin (BTC-USD), is still yet to be resolved.

Despite these huge challenges, COIN has a very high trailing price-sales ratio of seven times.

GameStop (GME)

 GameStop (NYSE:GME) may be playing an accounting game in order to boost its bottom line for a limited period of time.

I believe that could be the case because, in the second quarter, the company’s Accounts Payable (the amount that it owes other firms) soared to $378 million versus $214 million during the same period a year earlier.  So the firm may be delaying paying its bills in order to temporarily inflate its profits, in order to enable the company’s insiders and institutional investors to sell their GME stock at relatively high prices to retail investors who are probably not looking at the details of the company’s financial results.

Also noteworthy is that, even though GME reported a Q2 net loss of only $2.8 million, its operations burned $109.1 million of cash, while its investing activities burned another $52.2 million of cash. Cumulatively, it lost a rather large $164.6 million of cash in Q2, up from a decline of $126.6 million in Q2 of 2022.

Given these points, GME is definitely one of the best stocks to short now.

Airbnb (ABNB)

I have long believed that, after the summer of 2023, leisure travel trends would decelerate because Americans’ “revenge” travel following the pandemic would have been satiated by then. Now there are some data points suggesting that such a trend, which would be harmful to Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB), is indeed materializing.

Specifically, two discount airlines: Spirit (NYSE:SAVE) and Frontier recently warned that their Q3 revenue was trending below their previous expectations. Many of the consumers who use discount airlines would likely be Airbnb’s customers since the latter company’s rates tend to be significantly lower than hotels’ prices.

Moreover, given the elevated prices of both oil and labor, some airlines may have to start raising their prices soon, further depressing travel trends and harming ABNB’s business.

Despite these challenges, ABNB stock is changing hands at an elevated forward price-earnings ratio of 33.4. And that forward P/E ratio may be based at least partly on overly optimistic earnings forecasts that don’t take into account the developing travel deceleration.

On the date of publication, Larry Ramer held short positions in COIN and GME. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

Larry Ramer has conducted research and written articles on U.S. stocks for 15 years. He has been employed by The Fly and Israel’s largest business newspaper, Globes. Larry began writing columns for InvestorPlace in 2015. Among his highly successful, contrarian picks have been PLUG, XOM and solar stocks. You can reach him on Stocktwits at @larryramer.

Source link

3 Cybersecurity Stocks That Should Be on Every Investor’s Radar This Fall

Throughout the past week, two Las Vegas casinos, MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) and Caesars Entertainment (NASDAQ:CZR), have had an ongoing cyberattack. These events have once again highlighted the enormous opportunity cybersecurity stocks have. More attacks like this will happen in the future.

Hackers are becoming more sophisticated. In addition, they are posing more disruptions to businesses. As the latest casino hack has shown, companies are losing millions from downtime and ransom demands.

For now, it’s unclear how the latest casino hack will be resolved. Overall, this crisis will only emphasize the need for increased cyber spending. Indeed, industry research predicts that investments in cyber defense capabilities will grow. For instance, Statista forecasts that the global cybersecurity market will increase to $538.3 billion by 2030.

Besides the expanding total addressable market, the new Securities and Exchange Commission rules on cybersecurity will make public companies prioritize this area. Ultimately, the increase in spending will be a boon for cybersecurity stocks. Innovative cloud-based players that are also leveraging artificial intelligence will do well.

Cybersecurity Stocks: SentinelOne (S)

With rumors swirling about a potential buyout, SentinelOne (NYSE:S) is one of the cybersecurity stocks to keep an eye on. On August 21, Reuters reported that the firm was exploring strategic options, including a sale. The firm has hired Qatalyst Partners for advisory services related to a potential takeover.

A sale could be on the cards, considering that even the CEO believes the stock is undervalued. In a recent CNBC interview, CEO Tomer Weingarten stated, “Obviously, our valuation is a bit depressed, and we are an undervalued asset.”

Guess what. There is some truth to the statement. Notably, the stock trades more than 50% below its June 2021 IPO price of $35 per share. The decline has happened despite the company posting one of the highest growth rates in the sector.

The company’s AI-powered cybersecurity platform has been in huge demand. Enterprise customers use its autonomous defense systems for security and self-healing capabilities across attack vectors. As a result, revenue growth has been impressive, with revenues growing more than 100% in each of the last three fiscal years.

Yet, despite the stellar growth, the firm trades at a lower valuation than slower-growing peers. Currently, the trailing 12-month EV/Sales multiple is eight. For a business that increased revenues by 45% year-over-year in the latest quarter, that’s too cheap.

The CEO is right; the stock is undervalued. Either the market will recognize the disconnect and rerate the stock higher, or a buyer will swoop in at a substantial premium.

CrowdStrike (CRWD)

CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) is one of the fastest-growing cybersecurity stocks. It’s a cloud-native security platform that is helping customers protect their data and workloads on the cloud. As migration to the cloud continues, it will see more demand for its products.

As the latest quarterly results showed, CrowdStrike has found the perfect growth algorithm. It’s convincing customers to subscribe to more modules on its Falcon platform.

The strategy is working perfectly. Total revenues for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024 were $731.6 million, a 37% increase. Module adoption rates grew to 24%, 41% and 63% for customers with seven or more, six or more and five or more, respectively.

Not only is the company growing revenues at an impressive rate, but it is also delivering profits. It achieved GAAP profitability for the second consecutive quarter. Free cash flow grew to $188 million from $135 million the previous year.

CrowdStrike is well positioned to capitalize as chief technology and security officers invest heavily in cybersecurity. It’s a leader with superior technology, according to firms like Gartner and Forrester. For instance, in August, Frost & Sullivan named it a Cloud Workload Protection Platform leader.

With the SEC’s recent cybersecurity disclosure rules, spending is set to increase. Although the stock has appreciated year-to-date, it still has room to run. The average price target of $182 from TipRanks analysts represents more than 10% upside.

Zscaler (ZS)

Over the last decade, Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS) has revolutionized enterprise security. It has been displacing traditional security technologies like cloud access security brokers (CASBs) and secure web gateways. Due to the significant cost savings it delivers, the firm has enjoyed tremendous customer growth. Today, it counts over 40% of Fortune 500 companies as customers.

The Zscaler Internet Access platform has been the growth driver supporting secure and fast access to the internet. The firm has added more products, such as Zscaler Private Access for workloads (ZPA). While ZPA is still a small business, it has a faster growth rate and sales increased 57% YOY in 2022.

Zscaler will continue to disrupt the security market with its leading zero-trust solutions. Specifically, it is targeting legacy VPN firewalls for replacement with its superior technology. That could be a massive tailwind throughout the next decade.

Given the solid growth prospects, TipRanks analysts believe the company is one of the best cybersecurity stocks. Thus, they remain bullish and see a 17% upside from current levels.

After the recent earnings report, there were several positive analyst notes. Wedbush Dan Ives raised the price target to $185, citing continued success in cloud workload protection and zero-trust SaaS applications. BMO’s Keith Bachman also raised the target, citing health revenue growth and an expanding total addressable market.

Zscaler is keen on expanding the zero-trust architecture to users and workloads everywhere. As large projects put on hold get back on, revenue will see a resurgence.

On the date of publication, Charles Munyi did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

Charles Munyi has extensive writing experience in various industries, including personal finance, insurance, technology, wealth management and stock investing. He has written for a wide variety of financial websites including Benzinga, The Balance and Investopedia.

Source link

3 of the Worst Stocks of All-Time (That Warren Buffett Still Owns!)

Warren Buffett is widely regarded as the greatest investor of all-time. His massive $160 billion holding of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock has been called the greatest trade, and the positions he’s held for decades in blue-chip names including Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) and American Express (NYSE:AXP) are frequently cited as the perfect examples of a buy-and-hold investing strategy. Buffett’s focus on strong financials and sound fundamentals over hot investing trends and fads is frequently held up as an example of midwestern common sense triumphing over the flash and hustle of Wall Street.

So it came as a shock recently to learn that, despite his successful track record, Buffett currently owns three of the worst stocks of all-time. Based on a study at Arizona State University, the company Visual Capitalist recently produced a graphic of the 25 worst stocks by shareholder wealth losses since 1926. The list includes notorious companies, many of which no longer exist, such as WorldCom, Nortel Networks and TimeWarner. Collectively, these terrible 25 have cost investors a combined $1.2 trillion in losses.

Buffett currently owns three of the names on the list. While surprising, it’s also somewhat comforting to see that, like the rest of us, Warren Buffett too has made a few bad stock choices that are dragging down his portfolio. Here are three of the worst stocks of all-time (that Warren Buffett still owns!).

Snowflake (SNOW)

Buffett’s investment in Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW) got a lot of attention as one of the rare times that the Oracle of Omaha bought into a company’s initial public offering (IPO). Throughout his career, Buffett has notably steered clear of IPOs because of their volatile nature. That and the fact that most companies that come to market are unprofitable, especially within the tech sector. However, Buffett surprised everyone in 2020 when his holding company, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A/NYSE:BRK-B), got in on the IPO of Snowflake.

A cloud computing company based in Bozeman, Montana that’s focused on data analytics, Snowflake seemed like the type of specialty tech company that Buffett has long said is outside his “circle of competence.” This led to speculation that it was one of Buffett’s lieutenants who executed the investment in SNOW stock. However, at a minimum, Buffett would have had to approve the share purchase.

Turns out that getting in on the Snowflake IPO was a terrible decision.

According to Visual Capitalist, SNOW stock has cost investors a combined $30 billion in losses since its IPO three years ago. Snowflake’s share price is currently trading 33% lower than where it closed on its first day of trading back in September 2020. The Arizona State study notes that Snowflake has been one of the worst IPOs of all-time. Yet Berkshire Hathaway still owns more than six million shares in this dud, currently worth nearly $1 billion.

Paramount Global (PARA)

Since going public in 1987, movie studio and entertainment company Paramount Global (NASDAQ:PARA) has cost its shareholder a collective $30 billion in losses. The stock’s all-time gain over the last 36 years is a paltry 45%. Since 2018, PARA stock has lost 75% of its value, including a nearly 40% decline this year. Anyway you look at it, the company which owns the Paramount Pictures film studio, CBS television network, and specialty channels such as MTV and Comedy Central has been a horrible investment.

And yet, Warren Buffett currently owns almost 94 million shares of PARA stock worth $1.32 billion. What’s surprising here is that Paramount Global is one of Buffett’s newest positions. He began accumulating stock in Paramount in the first quarter of 2022. The timing couldn’t have been worse. In May of this year, Paramount cut its dividend payment to shareholders by nearly 80% to 5 cents a share per quarter as it contends with a steep drop in revenue from its traditional TV business. PARA stock fell 28% on news of the dividend cut.

Now, Paramount is dealing with the strike by Hollywood writers and actors that has brought TV and film production to a standstill and left the company’s fledgling streaming service without new content. All of the problems with Paramount stock are clearly bothering Buffett as he made mention of the company’s woes at this year’s Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, something he almost never does. Still, the question remains: Why did Buffett buy into PARA stock in the first place?

Kraft Heinz (KHC)

Another stock Buffett has grumbled about publicly is Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC). What’s shocking in this instance is that Buffett helped to create Kraft Heinz Co. In 2013, Buffett bought the H.J. Heinz Company for $23 billion. Two years later, in 2015, he engineered a merger between Heinz and Kraft Foods to form Kraft Heinz Co. KHC stock began trading at $71 a share. Today, the shares trade at less than half that price. It’s a bitter disappointment that’s led Buffett to remark: “I was wrong in a couple of ways on Kraft Heinz… We overpaid for Kraft.”

On the surface, the creation of Kraft Heinz seemed like a slam dunk. The company, which makes ketchup, barbecue sauce, Jell-O, and Kraft dinner, seemed like the type of blue-chip consumer-focused company that Buffett is famous for investing in. Sadly, the merger never yielded the “synergies” and “economies of scale” that were initially promised. A move away from packaged foods by consumers, a $15.4 billion debt write-down, and a dividend cut have conspired to pull KHC stock lower. Berkshire itself took a $3 billion write-down on Kraft Heinz.

According to Visual Capitalist, shareholders have lost a total of $35 billion since KHC stock began trading, making it one of the worst investments ever. Yet Buffett is holding on. He currently owns more than 325 million shares of KHC stock worth $10 billion. In interviews, Buffett has said he has no intention of throwing in the towel on Kraft Heinz despite the stock’s poor performance, noting that the company has many strong consumer brands in its portfolio of products.

On the date of publication, Joel Baglole held a long position in AAPL. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines

Joel Baglole has been a business journalist for 20 years. He spent five years as a staff reporter at The Wall Street Journal, and has also written for The Washington Post and Toronto Star newspapers, as well as financial websites such as The Motley Fool and Investopedia.

Source link

Norfolk Southern announces homeowner compensation plan after East Palestine derailment

Railroad giant Norfolk Southern Corp.
NSC,
+0.05%

on Monday announced an interim plan to compensate eligible homeowners whose home values suffered following the February derailment of a train carrying toxic chemicals in East Palestine, Ohio. Under the program, residents within a defined boundary near the Ohio-Pennsylvania border “who have sold their homes since February 3, currently have their homes on the market, or will put their homes on the market, are eligible to be compensated for any difference between their home’s market value and its sale price,” the company said. The interim program will also be available for future sales, as Norfolk Southern works on a longer-term plan. Property owners who qualify “will work with independent appraisers to assess the value of their home, and with the Norfolk Southern Family Assistance Center (FAC) after the sale to recoup any difference.” Shares were unchanged after hours.

Source link

IBM commits to training 2 million in AI over next 3 years

International Business Machines Corp.
IBM,
-0.62%

said Monday it is committing to training 2 million people in artificial-intelligence technologies over the next three years, and offering course accreditation for its products. IBM shares closed Monday down 0.6% at $145.09, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+0.02%

rose less than 0.1%. The company said it will focus on under-represented communities, and provide universities access to IBM-led training along with online courses on generative AI and Red Hat open-source tech. The company expects AI and automation will require companies to retrain 40% of their workforce because of expected AI advances over the next three years.

Source link

Psychedelic stock jumps as Steve Cohen’s Point72 snaps up shares

Shares of Cybin Inc.,
CYBN,
+39.39%

a developer of psychedelic therapies, finished 38.5% higher on Monday after billionaire investor and New York Mets owner Steve Cohen’s hedge fund Point72 disclosed that it had bought nearly 19 million shares of the company for an 8.1% stake. The filing was disclosed Friday and first noted on social media. It comes roughly three months after the foundation that Cohen runs with his wife, Alexandra, awarded a $5 million grant to the Multidisciplinary Association for Psychedelic Studies, or MAPS. The foundation has donated more than $31 million to psychedelic projects, according to its website. Cybin is researching the effects of psychedelics on things like anxiety and depression. Neither Cybin nor Point72 immediately responded to a request for comment.

Source link

U.S. stocks struggle to maintain gains in Monday’s final hour of trading

All three major U.S. stock indexes lost most of their earlier gains as the last hour of Monday’s trading got underway and investors weighed the possibility of at least one more Federal Reserve rate hike this year. Dow industrials were up by less than 0.1% or 18 points, after largely losing an intraday gain of almost 107 points. The S&P 500 was up by just 3 points, while the Nasdaq Composite was higher by just 2 points. The Fed’s next announcement is scheduled for Wednesday, when policy makers are unlikely to change the fed funds rate from the current level of 5.25%-5.5%, but release their rate and economic projections.

Source link

Marathon, Tesla, Moderna and more

In an aerial view, the Valero Houston refinery is seen on August 28, 2023 in Houston, Texas.

Brandon Bell | Getty Images

Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading.

Oil stocks — Petroleum refiners Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum gained 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, as West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude prices reached their highest levels since November, 2022. The oil services ETF and S&P 500 Energy Index both rose 1%.

Arm Holdings — Shares declined 5.4% on the back of the company’s blockbuster Nasdaq debut Thursday, when it surged nearly 25%. Bernstein initiated coverage of the chip designer with an underperform rating on Monday, saying it’s “too early” to name Arm an AI winner. Needham initiated coverage of the chip designer with a hold rating on Friday, saying Arm’s valuation looks “full” in a post-smartphone era.

Moderna — The pharmaceutical company lost more than 7% Monday, making it the biggest decliner in the S&P 500. Co-founder and board chairman Noubar Afeyan sold 15,000 shares for approximately $1.64 million, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Pharmaceutical peer Pfizer said in a press conference Monday that it expects a 24% vaccination rate for Covid-19 shots in the U.S. this year. Moderna’s updated Covid vaccines have been approved in both the U.S. and the U.K.  

Tesla — Shares of the electric vehicle maker slipped 2.3% after Goldman Sachs lowered its earnings estimate. Analyst Mark Delaney cited the potential for further price cuts and lower margins as reasons for the reduction.

PayPal — The payment platform slipped 1.8% following a downgrade to market perform from outperform by MoffetNathanson. The firm said PayP still faces challenges as a new CEO takes the helm.

Ralph Lauren — The luxury retailer saw its shares rise more than 1% after Guggenheim upgraded the stock to buy from neutral. The Wall Street firm said Ralph Lauren’s earnings are set to benefit from several cyclical tailwinds, including clean inventories, lower freight expenses and lower cotton cost, adding that the recent pullback has provided an attractive entry point.

Enphase Energy — Shares lost 2.1% after Citi lowered its price target on shares to $170 from $209 while keeping its buy rating. The new price target implies 41% upside from Friday’s close.

Tenable Holdings — Shares gained 2% after TD Cowen initiated coverage of the cybersecurity stock with an outperform rating. Cowen said Tenable appears well positioned to benefit from tailwinds in a total addressable market of $25 billion.

Vertex — Shares of the tax software stock climbed 2.4% in midday trading. Morgan Stanley resumed coverage of Vertex on Monday with an overweight rating. Analyst Chris Quintero highlighted the growth opportunity for the company following a strong investment cycle.

DoorDash — Shares of the food delivery service added 1.6%. Mizuho upgraded the company to buy from neutral in a Monday note, citing continued market share gains.The company also expanded its partnership with Aldi to allow alcohol orders, in addition to adding new grocery providers, including Lowe’s Markets and Eataly.

Micron Technology — The stock gained 1% midday after Deutsche Bank upgraded the memory and storage semiconductor maker to buy from hold on Sunday, and also raised its target price. The firm said Micron’s pricing power in direct random access memory is hitting an inflection point, and could push the company to beat expectations for its fiscal first-quarter revenue and earnings guidance in November.

Paramount Global — Shares of the entertainment company fell 3.7% Monday. Raymond James began research coverage with a market perform rating, while giving peers Disney and Warner Bros Discovery outperform ratings.

Simply Good Foods — Shares of the food and beverage company added over 4% following a Morgan Stanley upgrade to overweight from equal-weight on Monday. The investment bank bumped up the stock’s price target to $40 from $37, citing Simply Good Foods’ diverse product offering and shifting consumer preferences to healthier choices as catalysts.

Iridium Communications – The satellite company’s stock jumped more than 5% following an upgrade from Deutsche Bank to buy from hold. The firm said it sees an attractive entry point for Iridium shares, which have plunged 19.4% quarter to date. 

ASGN — Shares of the digital innovations solutions company rallied 5% Monday. Wells Fargo started research coverage with an overweight rating on the company, encouraging investors to buy the dip. The stock is little changed in 2023.

— CNBC’s Alex Harring, Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh and Michelle Fox contributed reporting

Source link

Gold futures settle at their highest in more than 2 weeks

Gold futures climbed on Monday, giving up some early declines to settle at their highest in more than two weeks. The precious metal has been holding its ground, digesting prior gains, while “outside fundamental pressures,” such as overall strength in Treasury yields and strength in the U.S. dollar “fail to decisively push prices down,” said Adam Koos, president at Libertas Wealth Management Group. “This is a positive for gold, in my book.” December gold
GCZ23,
+0.36%

climbed by $7.20, or 0.4%, to settle at $1,953.40 an ounce on Comex. Prices based on the most-active contract settled at their highest since Sept. 1, FactSet data show.

Source link